Sheridan County Water Supply Report

Sheridan County Water Supply Report
October Report

How to Use This Report

What is this report?

Instead of combing the internet and clicking a million links to learn about water supply in Sheridan County, let us do the work for you! This report compiles many trustworthy sources into an easy-to-read and access report. It includes information about streamflow, snowpack, drought, soil moisture, and precipitation for both the Tongue and Powder Rivers. This report is a one-stop shop for information that can help you be aware of water in Sheridan to make decisions for your ranch and your land.

Helpful Hints:

  • All forecasts have the word forecast underlined in the page's title.
  • Each page has a little blurb at the top that gives you some helpful information.
  • If you would like to know more about a topic, check out the sources at the bottom of the page!
  • Sources are precise and bring you as close as possible to the original source.

Drought Index and Change

The U.S. Drought Monitor gives you a broad overview of the drought conditions in the US. Its strength is bringing together many ways of determining drought. It is useful as a large-scale view of drought, but local drought resiliency efforts are not considered.

Current Drought Monitor

Most of Sheridan County is in D2, Severe Drought. This extends south of Sheridan County. Nearly all of Wyoming experiencing some level of drought. 


Change in Drought Monitor

Class 1 degradation occurred across most of Sheridan County except the Bighorn mountains. Class 2 degradation occurred in the far eastern portion of the County. 

Sources:

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/MapArchive.aspx
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/ChangeMaps.aspxhttps://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Summary.aspx

Table of contents

Drought History and Forecast

The first half of this page shows current conditions, followed by the forecast. The outlook is a prediction of

History of Drought Monitor

Drought conditions have degraded compared to three months ago, when 80% of the County was experience no drought and 20% moderate drought.   


Forecast of Drought Monitor

Looking into October, NOAA reports: "The official October Outlook has not been updated yet." 

Sources:

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?fips_56033
https://www.drought.gov/forecasts
1https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/mdo_summary.php

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/mdo_discussion.php
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Summary.aspx

Table of contents

Precipitation - Tongue River

These graphs represent precipitation affecting the Tongue River. Snow water equivalent (SWE) represents the amount of water contained within the snowpack when it melts.



Summary

Snow-water equivalent is at 0 inches. This is normal for this time of year. 

Precipitation is at 18% of median; however, the water year restarted on October 1st. It is in the 20th percentile. 

Sources:

https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/awdb/basin-plots/POR/WTEQ/assocHUCwy_8/tongue.html
https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/awdb/basin-plots/POR/PREC/assocHUCwy_8/tongue.htm

Table of contents

Reservoir Capacity and Stream Flow

The total capacity of reservoirs and current water storage includes inactive storage below the outlet.

Lake DeSmet

As of October 1, Lake DeSmet has a total of 196,387 acre-feet in storage, a decrease of approximately 5,000 acre-feet since September. 

Reservoir Total Storage (Acre-ft) Current Storage (Acre-ft) Percentage of Total Capacity (%)
Bighorn 4,624 708
Cross Creek 824 27
Dome Lake No. 1 1,506 834
Kearney Lake 6,324 416
Park Lake 10,362 3,104
Sawmill 1,275 770

Tongue River Reservoir

Water levels decreased over the last month from 55,154 acre-feet to 43,561 acre-feet. The reservoir is 55.1% full.


Reservoir Level



This graph displays the real time data of the Tongue River Reservoir. This data remains provisional until it is officially reviewed due to variables that can affect the gages. These include but are not limited to algal and aquatic growth, sediment movement, malfunction of recording equipment, and back water from ice or debris such as log jams.

Sources:

Lake DeSmet Operating Department at lakedesmet@johnsoncowy.us
https://seoflow.wyo.gov/Data/Map/Parameter/Total%20Storage/Location/Identifier/Interval/Latest
https://gis.dnrc.mt.gov/apps/stage/gage-report/location/3f087fe86bde421f857dfedff4e40e93/1680476400000-1683154740000

Table of contents

Select Stream Flow Stations

These graphs give context to stream flow percentile classes. The selected USGS stream gauges are on the stateline with Montana, being the downstream end of the Tongue and Powder within our region. The flow represent average 7-day flows. The vertical axis is logarithmic meaning it goes up by 10x for each major tick mark.



Tongue River Border Station Stream Flow

Streamflow is in the "Much below Normal" range and approaching the 5th percentile.


Powder River Stream Flow

Streamflow is in the "Normal" range or 25-75th percentile. 


Sources:

https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/index.php?id=mv01d
https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/?id=wwchart_sitedur&ofmt=plot_mvbg&site_no=06306300
https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/?id=wwchart_sitedur&ofmt=plot_mvbg&site_no=06324500

Table of contents

Temperature and Precipitation

Temperature and precipitation are large drivers of changes in drought conditions. As you might expect, high temperatures and low precipitation can worsen drought conditions while low temperature and high precipitations can improve them.


Temperature Anomaly

September was warmer than most years, with a temperature anomaly 4 to 5 degrees higher than usual. 


Precipitation Anomaly

The precipitation anomaly for most of Sheridan County was 25-50 mm (1 - 2 inches) less precipitation for September than compared to other years.  


Sources:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/tanal/temp_analyses.php
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/NAMS_precip_monitoring.shtml2
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/mdo_discussion.php3
https://www.weather.gov/byz/daily_records?city=Sheridan

Table of contents

Temperature Forecast and Precipitation Forecast

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/interactive/index.php Explore link above for an Interactive map that displays percentage chance above and below normal for any point in US


Temperature

Sheridan has 60-70% probability of temperature above normal for October. This follows a band of expected heat across the west. Likely a warmer month ahead. 


Precipitation

Sheridan County has a 33-40% probability of precipitation being below normal in October. This indicates a leaning towards a dry month ahead. 


Sources:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/interactive/index.php –Interactive with percentages
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/mdo_discussion.php

Table of contents

Vegetation Drought Responses and Soil Moisture

The graphs below are two ways of visualizing on-ground conditions. The vegetation Drought Response Index (Vegdri) uses a satellite to estimate vegetative stress. Soil moisture is helpful when looking at many things. Soil acts as a bank for moisture and can buffer drought degradation or improvement. It is also the water that plants have available to them so is linked to vegetative stress.


Vegetation Drought Response

Vegetation across the county is showing pre-drought to moderate or severe drought stress. The more severe drought stress is seen on the western side of the county. 


Soil Moisture

Soil moisture percentile ranges from 30 - 40% (yellow) in the west of the County to 5 - 10% (red) in the south east corner of the County. 


Sources:

https://vegdri.unl.edu/Home/VegDRIQuad.aspx?WY,2
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml
http://www.wrds.uwyo.edu/Soil/SM-Ptile-Current.html

Table of contents

Additional Resources

These are the broad sources we got information from. These websites are trustworthy and are reliable sources for additional information. In the future we hope to add more source for additional information.